Hi Sheri
Some time ago (spring early summer) when all this swine flu thing was
just getting rev'ed up one of your mails included the WHO's global
estimate of the number of deaths expected - can you refer me to
that article or do you have the number handy?
tks Bob
SWINE FLU
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Sheri Nakken
- Posts: 3999
- Joined: Wed Apr 01, 2020 10:00 pm
Re: SWINE FLU
At 06:23 AM 12/7/2009, you wrote:
I've looked thru my posts for spring/early summer and can't find something like that
Found this when googled
Here are all of Margaret Chan's speeches (of WHO)
http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/2009/en/
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/ju ... ho-warning
Chan's war has arrived with a vengeance. A 2007 WHO report, A Safer Future, estimated that a flu pandemic could affect more than 1.5 bn people, or 25% of the world's population. Could swine flu be that big? "Quite likely. Quite likely. But it probably won't happen in one run. It will probably come back [in two or three waves]."
How does she expect it to compare to other pandemics? "In terms of the number of countries affected and the number of people infected, this has got to be the biggest."
Bigger than 1918? "If you're talking about mortality then it's different. 1918 is the biggest in terms of mortality. I would not like to make any predictions . . . I hope we don't see the 1918 picture. But we should expect to see more people infected, and more severe cases coming up, including deaths."
http://www.theflucase.com/index.php?opt ... 64&lang=en
WHO's Dr Margaret Chan predicts "biggest" pandemic ever
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... ficer.html
http://www.vosizneias.com/37382/2009/08 ... overblown/
On Monday, the White House unveiled a grim report estimating the swine flu will wipe out up to 90,000 Americans in the coming months. The deadly virus will also infect half of the population and force some 1.8 million people into hospital intensive care units, the President's Council of Advisers on Science and Technology predicted.
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/ ... ictions.do
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/ ... t-month.do
She added that Health Secretary Andy Burnham 's declaration that 100,000 people a day could be diagnosed with swine flu by the end of August is a "reasonable" assessment.
http://www.boston.com/news/health/artic ... aled_back/
It appeared prominently in a White House report drafted by some of the nation's brightest scientific minds, including researchers from Boston. But it was never intended as an actual forecast, and all the evidence so far - a lot of people have reported swine flu symptoms but relatively few have died - suggests the germ won't claim anywhere near 90,000 lives.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_a ... 718187.ece
When the Health Secretary, Andy Burnham stood up in Parliament at the beginning of the month and announced that there could be as many as 100,000 new cases of swine flu a day by the end of August there was an audible intake of breath. Just over a fortnight later and that gloomy prediction is looking increasingly realistic the latest estimates suggest that we might have breached the 10,000 new cases a day threshold in the early part of last week, the death toll is mounting, and hundreds of people have been admitted to hospital.
Now for the good news: the influenza A (H1N1) virus causes a milder illness than expected. Like all flu viruses it can and will kill some people, but for the vast majority of people who catch it, it will mean little more than a few days in bed and a week or two off work, school or college.
The latest government predictions may be worrying, but predictions of anywhere between 19,000 and 65,000 deaths this winter suggest that swine flu is only marginally more virulent than some of the more aggressive seasonal strains. The 1989-1990 flu epidemic, for instance, is thought to have been responsible for as many as 30,000 deaths in the UK.
Sheri
------------------------------------------
Sheri Nakken, R.N., MA, Hahnemannian Homeopath
http://www.wellwithin1.com/vaccine.htm & http://www.wellwithin1.com/homeo.htm
ONLINE/Email classes in Homeopathy; Vaccine Dangers; Childhood Diseases Reality
Next classes start December 2 & 3
I've looked thru my posts for spring/early summer and can't find something like that
Found this when googled
Here are all of Margaret Chan's speeches (of WHO)
http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/2009/en/
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/ju ... ho-warning
Chan's war has arrived with a vengeance. A 2007 WHO report, A Safer Future, estimated that a flu pandemic could affect more than 1.5 bn people, or 25% of the world's population. Could swine flu be that big? "Quite likely. Quite likely. But it probably won't happen in one run. It will probably come back [in two or three waves]."
How does she expect it to compare to other pandemics? "In terms of the number of countries affected and the number of people infected, this has got to be the biggest."
Bigger than 1918? "If you're talking about mortality then it's different. 1918 is the biggest in terms of mortality. I would not like to make any predictions . . . I hope we don't see the 1918 picture. But we should expect to see more people infected, and more severe cases coming up, including deaths."
http://www.theflucase.com/index.php?opt ... 64&lang=en
WHO's Dr Margaret Chan predicts "biggest" pandemic ever
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... ficer.html
http://www.vosizneias.com/37382/2009/08 ... overblown/
On Monday, the White House unveiled a grim report estimating the swine flu will wipe out up to 90,000 Americans in the coming months. The deadly virus will also infect half of the population and force some 1.8 million people into hospital intensive care units, the President's Council of Advisers on Science and Technology predicted.
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/ ... ictions.do
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/ ... t-month.do
She added that Health Secretary Andy Burnham 's declaration that 100,000 people a day could be diagnosed with swine flu by the end of August is a "reasonable" assessment.
http://www.boston.com/news/health/artic ... aled_back/
It appeared prominently in a White House report drafted by some of the nation's brightest scientific minds, including researchers from Boston. But it was never intended as an actual forecast, and all the evidence so far - a lot of people have reported swine flu symptoms but relatively few have died - suggests the germ won't claim anywhere near 90,000 lives.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_a ... 718187.ece
When the Health Secretary, Andy Burnham stood up in Parliament at the beginning of the month and announced that there could be as many as 100,000 new cases of swine flu a day by the end of August there was an audible intake of breath. Just over a fortnight later and that gloomy prediction is looking increasingly realistic the latest estimates suggest that we might have breached the 10,000 new cases a day threshold in the early part of last week, the death toll is mounting, and hundreds of people have been admitted to hospital.
Now for the good news: the influenza A (H1N1) virus causes a milder illness than expected. Like all flu viruses it can and will kill some people, but for the vast majority of people who catch it, it will mean little more than a few days in bed and a week or two off work, school or college.
The latest government predictions may be worrying, but predictions of anywhere between 19,000 and 65,000 deaths this winter suggest that swine flu is only marginally more virulent than some of the more aggressive seasonal strains. The 1989-1990 flu epidemic, for instance, is thought to have been responsible for as many as 30,000 deaths in the UK.
Sheri
------------------------------------------
Sheri Nakken, R.N., MA, Hahnemannian Homeopath
http://www.wellwithin1.com/vaccine.htm & http://www.wellwithin1.com/homeo.htm
ONLINE/Email classes in Homeopathy; Vaccine Dangers; Childhood Diseases Reality
Next classes start December 2 & 3
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Robert Needham
- Posts: 22
- Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:18 pm